Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.536931 0.593143 0.653723 0.724021 0.803551 0.890963 0.994619
2025-09-21 0.440800 0.517216 0.605748 0.716573 0.852534 1.015094 1.225975
2025-09-28 0.375414 0.457829 0.557888 0.689573 0.860195 1.076393 1.375255
2025-10-05 0.345736 0.435429 0.548688 0.704250 0.915584 1.197435 1.609959
2025-10-12 0.321380 0.415887 0.539274 0.715084 0.963988 1.311323 1.846528
2025-10-19 0.299436 0.396676 0.527363 0.719676 1.002116 1.412658 2.075752
2025-10-26 0.280670 0.379664 0.516208 0.723088 1.037291 1.511583 2.312298
2025-11-02 0.265672 0.366360 0.508617 0.730111 1.077329 1.620694 2.578148
2025-11-09 0.246197 0.344973 0.487354 0.714177 1.079427 1.668939 2.747034
2025-11-16 0.235095 0.334883 0.481730 0.721319 1.118159 1.779984 3.039585
2025-11-23 0.222027 0.320842 0.468921 0.715660 1.134727 1.854482 3.274933
2025-11-30 0.212393 0.311301 0.462205 0.718985 1.166237 1.957647 3.578694
2025-12-07 0.200208 0.297205 0.447610 0.708465 1.173408 2.019069 3.812412
2025-12-14 0.189767 0.285225 0.435606 0.701354 1.185951 2.091906 4.081627
2025-12-21 0.176419 0.267787 0.413551 0.675031 1.160689 2.089083 4.187481
2025-12-28 0.171988 0.264506 0.414607 0.689338 1.212431 2.243181 4.666827
2026-01-04 0.167176 0.260269 0.413699 0.699898 1.257808 2.389560 5.154594
2026-01-11 0.161644 0.254483 0.409715 0.704374 1.291457 2.515181 5.615263
2026-01-18 0.156309 0.248711 0.405350 0.707699 1.322936 2.639690 6.096566
2026-01-25 0.151885 0.244242 0.402970 0.714543 1.362201 2.786176 6.664488
2026-02-01 0.144359 0.233987 0.389619 0.699014 1.352620 2.819543 6.929784
2026-02-08 0.140616 0.230184 0.387734 0.705975 1.392141 2.973009 7.567102
2026-02-15 0.135343 0.223392 0.379950 0.700459 1.403567 3.060042 8.027565